Egads! Tis an
informative and truthy article from the New York Times on ye olde economy! Forsooth, Lord Obama be screwified and hope doth shine on this blessed realm for 2013 canst we but surviveth that long:
If the economy falls back into recession, as many economists are now warning, the bloodletting could be a lot more painful than the last time around.
Given the tumult of the Great Recession, this may be hard to believe. But the economy is much weaker than it was at the outset of the last recession in December 2007, with most major measures of economic health — including jobs, incomes, output and industrial production — worse today than they were back then. And growth has been so weak that almost no ground has been recouped, even though a recovery technically started in June 2009.
How many Tums and Rolaids tablets were downed by NYT editors before letting this sentence pass their desks? In one swell foop it notes:
1. that the economy pre-recession under Bush was much better than the economy post-recession under Obama;
2. that "jobs, incomes, output and industrial production" are all crappier under Obama than they were under Bush;
3. that growth under Obama since he took the reins "has been so weak that almost no ground has been recouped"; and
4. that the past recession that Obama "inherited" and that he is
still blaming, actually
ended a scant handful of months into his term...more than 2 years ago.
Mind-bogglingly awesome.
...When the last downturn hit, the credit bubble left Americans with lots of fat to cut, but a new one would force families to cut from the bone. Making things worse, policy makers used most of the economic tools at their disposal to combat the last recession, and have few options available.
If only the NYT would realize that, gee, perhaps the "policy makers" using the "economic tools at their disposal" are the
reason that we never recovered? Cause? Effect? Ya think? Again, admits that when Bush was in office Americans had "lots of fat to cut", unlike since Obama took over.
...President Obama acknowledged the challenge in his Saturday radio and Internet address, saying the country’s “urgent mission” now was to expand the economy and create jobs. And Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner said in an interview on CNBC on Sunday that the United States had “a lot of work to do” because of its “long-term and unsustainable fiscal position.”
I see...just
now is that Obama's position? They could probably stand to admit that he's been saying this for 3 years and we ain't there yet. As for Tax Evader Timmy, what happened the administration's desire for 'clean' debt ceiling hikes? Did we not have a "long-term and unsustainable fiscal position" a couple of months ago?
...In the four years since the recession began, the civilian working-age population has grown by about 3 percent. If the economy were healthy, the number of jobs would have grown at least the same amount.
Instead, the number of jobs has shrunk. Today the economy has 5 percent fewer jobs — or 6.8 million — than it had before the last recession began. The unemployment rate was 5 percent then, compared with 9.1 percent today.
Again, blow to Obama's midsection and backhanded compliment for Bush and the GOP Congress that had us at 5% unemployment vs. Obama's 9.1%. Admits that the economy is
not healthy and the number of jobs available, despite Obama's bragging about jobs 'created and saved', "has shrunk".
...Adjusted for inflation, personal income is down 4 percent, not counting payments from the government for things like unemployment benefits. Income levels are low, and moving in the wrong direction: private wage and salary income actually fell in June, the last month for which data was available.
How, exactly, did Obama "inherit" this recent trend? Exactly.
...spending is only barely where it was when the recession began. If the economy were healthy, total consumer spending would be higher because of population growth.
Again, shot to the midsection and Obama's clearly hurt. Spending, in the years since Obama "won", hasn't moved since he took office, defying historical trends and common sense. When nothing has happened in the 3 years you've been in charge, well, that's not "inherited", buddy.
Likewise, and perhaps most worrisome, is the track record for the country’s overall output. According to newly revised data from the Commerce Department, the economy is smaller today than it was when the recession began, despite (or rather, because of) the feeble growth in the last couple of years.
If the economy were healthy, it would be much bigger than it was four years ago.
"feeble growth"? Was that Obama's mouthpiece that just flew across the room? I like the casual "last couple of year" part, where they avoid saying "since Obama took office". Again, they avoid directly saying the economy is
unhealthy, just saying 'if it were...'.
...Interest rates cannot be pushed down further — they are already at zero. The Fed has already flooded the financial markets with money by buying billions in mortgage securities and Treasury bonds, and economists do not even agree on whether those purchases substantially helped the economy.
They were about at zero
before this all happened, that was part of the
problem, not part of the solution that was tried - why don't they try
raising them? Roundhouse aimed at Bernanke's shiny noggin here, admitting that his decision to print money (QE1 and QE2) was neither a good move in the eyes of a consensus of economists nor successful.
...Congress had some room — financially and politically — to engage in fiscal stimulus during the last recession.
But at the end of 2007, the federal debt was 64.4 percent of the economy. Today, it is estimated at around 100 percent of gross domestic product, a share not seen since the aftermath of World War II, and there is little chance of lawmakers reaching consensus on additional stimulus that would increase the debt.
Nice to see historical comparisons here on just how much the Democrats jacked up the debt. Would love, of course, to see this built upon, pointing out that it was the Democrats with Obama that did it, not the GOP ("end of 2007" saw Dems controlling Congress), that the GOP is the party trying to
fix it, and that this is a real problem that needs to be fixed...and, again, which party it is that's trying to do so while being called "terrorists" by the party that did this to the economy and, by the way, the media that supports them and joins in.
“There is no approachable precedent, at least in the postwar era, for what happens when an economy with 9 percent unemployment falls back into recession,” said Nigel Gault, chief United States economist at IHS Global Insight. “The one precedent you might consider is 1937, when there was also a premature withdrawal of fiscal stimulus, and the economy fell into another recession more painful than the first.”
What hath Obama wrought? Something unseen since the Great Depression. Roll the tape on Cousin Vinny questioning the automotive expert, "It's OK, you can say it. They know." It's OK to outright say the GD term.
...Nervous about the future of the economy, corporations are reluctant to make big investments like hiring. As a result, they are sitting on a lot of cash.
I thought the problem was that banks weren't lending and we had to make the banks lend? Does this not fly in the face of liberal orthodoxy and the myth they've created about Obama's economy? It certainly does. The ref has started counting.
2009.
2010.
2011.
2012.
2013 - and it's over! Put a malaise sweater on him!
Watch your back, Catherine Rampell, I wouldn't be surprised if Thomas Friedman comes after you in the NYT halls. You might want to start going out for lunch.